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Tags:uncertainty

Your child has worrisome symptoms.   97 doctors say 'treat.'

97 of 100 doctors recommend quick action to correct your child's serious abnormalities revealed by tests. One doctor says the child seems ...

You don't have to believe in climate change to solve it.

"You don't have to believe in climate change to solve it. Everything we do to raise energy efficiency, will make money, improve security & ...

Would you eat a mushroom that 97% of experts say is poisonous?

If 97% of experts say a mushroom is poisonous but 3% say it is safe, would you feed it to your kids?

Category:Who to Believe?
Would you drive on a bridge 97% of engineers agree will collapse?

97% of engineers agree bridge ahead will collapse. 3% say not to worry. Would you keep driving?

Category:Who to Believe?
Would you argue with your doctor over a heart condition?

Some people say ‘When you are sure about climate change, then we will do something about it.’ Suppose your doctor says ‘Well, I am very ...

Category:Who to Believe?
When in doubt, ask... your insurance company!

“The prospect of extreme climate change and its potentially devastating economic and social consequences are of great concern to the insuran ...

Category:Who to Believe?
When in doubt, ask... the Roman Catholic Church!

"At its core, global climate change is not about economic theory or political platforms, nor about partisan advantage or interest group pres ...

Category:Who to Believe?
When in doubt, ask...  big business!

"Last month, more than 70 European companies, including Ikea and Coca Cola, asked the European Union to aim for more ambitious carbon cuts." ...

Category:Who to Believe?
When in doubt, ask. . . an investor!

Climate change is "a significant investment risk for the foreseeable future".

Category:Who to Believe?
Weather you see from your window, climate you see from a satellite

‘Weather is what you see outside your window, climate is what you see from a satellite.’ – Scott Mandia, Professor of Physical Sciences at S ...

Weather is your mood and climate is your personality

"Weather is your mood and climate is your personality." — Dr. Marshall Shepherd, President of the American Meteorological Society

Weather = like a coin flip.  Climate = 1000 flips

Weather is like flipping a coin once. It is unpredictable. Climate is the average weather, measured over decades. It's like flipping a c ...

Volcanoes? That’s like blaming climate change on Santa Claus

“It’s a bit like asking us to believe in Santa Claus after we have seen our parents putting the presents under the tree.” – Naomi Oreskes, P ...

Unless you care a whole awful lot, nothing will change – The Lorax

“UNLESS someone like you cares a whole awful lot, nothing is going to get better. It’s not.” – The Lorax by Dr. Suess

Uncertainty? In science, 95% certainty is the gold standard

“In science, 95 percent certainty is often considered the gold standard for certainty.” - Seth Borenstein Associate Press science writer

To do nothing during a crisis is not a conservative thing to do

"To do nothing when the situation is changing rapidly is not a conservative thing to do." — Spencer R. Weart from his book, The Discovery of ...

Time to act like this is an emergency

“If (climate change) is an emergency, we have to act like it…But the good news is (if we act) we get to have a future for our kids.” — Naomi ...

Think climate change is a bunch of hooey?  The Chinese do not

"To my free enterprise colleagues -- especially conservatives here -- (if) you think it's all a bunch of hooey, the Chinese don't." — conser ...

Think 'We'll adapt'?  Our infrastructure may not be able to adapt

Our very elaborate infrastructure won't work because it was designed for the climate we had, not the one we are going to have. — Dr. Richard ...

The sky is blue... and the temperature is increasing!

"I really, really deplore the politicisation and polarisation of this issue" [global warming]. "There are these increasingly unprincipled at ...

The greenhouse effect isn’t rocket science

‘The science behind the greenhouse effect was simple enough to have been widely understood by the mid 19th century, when the light bulb and ...

The danger is not to the planet but our civilization

‘The danger is not to the planet but to our civilization on the planet. This is the real challenge of climate change.’ – Adam Frank, writer ...

The best job creators: clean energy & energy efficiency companies

‘Clean energy and energy efficiency companies are growing faster than any other sector. They are job creators. I cannot emphasize that str ...

Category:Clean Energy
Small Antarctic sea ice gain overlooks total sea ice loss

‘Looking at sea ice and not total ice is like your high school football team winning their game, but your NFL team loses the Super Bowl.’ — ...

Skeptical of climate change?  So am I!

I am skeptical we can keep burning fossil fuels with a business as usual mentality without harming the planet.

Scientists & non scientists: Don't leave your citizenship at the door

"Just because we scientists have Ph.D.'s we should not hang up our citizenship at the door of a public meeting." – Dr. Steve Schneider (1945 ...

Science: not a democracy, its a dictator of the strongest evidence

"Science is not a democracy. It is a dictatorship. It is the evidence that does the dictating." - author John Reisman

Responsibility (personal and for the planet) is a Republican value

"Responsibility is a big Republican theme. Why should we not take responsibility for what we are collectively doing to the climate system?" ...

Reject climate change? your grandkids will read your words

Reject climate change? "Make sure to say that very publicly, because I want our grandchildren to read what you said and what I said." - Bob ...

Reject climate change? Then you are rejecting science itself

'If you disagree with the science of human-caused climate change, then you are disagreeing with science itself,' — World Bank President Jim ...

Reject climate change? That harms your beach house & your kids

'If you dismiss all climate science as a hoax, I can’t help you. That’s between you & your beach house — and your kids, whose future you’re ...

Recent floods: Not just power of nature, but power of man

"(Recent floods) not just by the power of nature but by the power of man." — climate activist Bill McKibben

Our new moon shot: Restore a healthy climate by 2070

“We can restore the climate of the 1980s by 2070. It won’t require a miracle or big sacrifices, just the will and policies to do it.” — Pet ...

Only poets can approach explaining this present danger

“Only poets can approach this task (describing the threat of climate change) until we come up with the right metaphor.” — Donald A. Brown, A ...

No warming since 1998? Think all stopped cars are broken down?

'No warming in 15 years' is like arguing your car is broken down because it hasn't moved in the 15 seconds while you stopped at a red light. ...

No warming since 1998? It's like the tail wagging the dog

'When you focus on just atmospheric heat to measure global warming, it's like tracking the tip of your dog’s tail to determine its location, ...

My doctor can't say how and when I'll die.   So mortality is not real?

No doctor can tell us exactly how and when we'll die. But that doesn't invalidate the reality of mortality. We can be quite certain tha ...

More exciting than the best mystery plot

"To a patient scientist, the unfolding greenhouse mystery is far more exciting than the plot of the best mystery novel."—Dr. David Schindler

More destructive future storms & tornadoes? Don't bet against it.

"If you’re a betting person—or the insurance or reinsurance industry—you’d probably go with a prediction of greater frequency and intensity ...

Category:Extreme Weather
Like Russian Roulette...with more and more bullets!

Climate change increases the odds for extreme weather. Like playing Russian Roulette, while adding more and more bullets to a revolver. Yo ...

Keep using fossil fuels?  That 'gas tank' will soon be empty

We burn fossil fuels a million times faster than nature created them. Sooner or later, we will run out. — inspired by Dr. Richard Alley on ...

Join the movement to stop the biggest threat to our planet

'Climate change: the single biggest thing humans have ever done to this planet. One thing must get bigger: our movement to stop it.' — Bill ...

It's stopped warming?   Waves vs. tides.

Have you ever stood on a beach and watched the tide coming in? The long-term trend (the water level steadily rising) is hidden behind sh ...

Is it going to be bad or horrifically bad? That's the scientific debate

‘Is it going to be bad or horrifically bad?’ This is what the scientists debate, not it could be fine. Nothing like that.’ – Dr. Justin Woo ...

Intense snowstorms!  Yep.  Actually that is global warming.

(With climate change) “we will see a shorter snow season, but more intense individual snowfall events. – Dr. Michael Mann, Climatologist at ...

In a car headed for a wall, while we argue about seating.

"We're in a giant car headed for a brick wall and everyone is arguing over where they want to sit." - David Suzuki

Ignore climate change?  This increases your risk of being unlucky.

“Think of climate change as something that increases our risks of being unlucky. We need to prepare up front as we move into a warmer, hott ...

Ignore 97 out of 100 oncologists saying, 'Let's remove that mole!'

If 97 out of 100 oncologists advised you to remove a skin mole, would you listen to 3 oncologists saying the spot on your skin is benign? A ...

Category:Who to Believe?
If left unchecked, this issue will swamp all other all other issues

“Climate Change is not just another issue. It is an issue that if left unchecked, will swamp all other issues.” — Ross Gelbspan, writer and ...

If 1º melts the Arctic, we're fools to see what 2º will do

"If 1 degee melts the Arctic, we're fools to find out what 2 degrees will do." — Bill McKibben, environmental author & founder of 350.org

If 10 people said your house is on fire, you'd act.

"If ten people told you your house was on fire, you would call the fire department. You wouldn’t really care whether some of them thought th ...

I am skeptical of oil changes for my car!

"Ok, but its going to get expensive real quick," responds my friend, Scott, a car mechanic. The science of climate change is very similar.. ...

Hurricane Sandy: A criminal with help from an accomplice

"If (Hurricane Sandy) was a criminal case, detectives would be treating global warming as a likely accomplice in the crime. - writer Andrew ...

Category:Extreme Weather
Hate high taxes?  Then stop Mother Nature's Extreme Weather Tax

Alarmed by Hurricane Sandy’s destruction and the current drought? Warning: Mother Nature is now imposing ‘an extreme weather tax.’

Guns don't 'cause' violence, but they make it deadlier.

Extreme weather is not 'caused' by climate change, just like murder is not 'caused' by guns. But just as greater availability of firearms ma ...

Category:Extreme Weather
Gravity theory has uncertainties too.  So jump off a cliff?

"Science isn't "yes or no." Science is gradually reducing uncertainty. Consider gravity. We know gravity with a fairly high degree of und ...

Global Warming paused since 1998?  Paws are for puppies & kittens

‘People ask me: Is there a pause in global warming? My response: paws are for kittens & puppies. Global warming is still increasing.’ - Jos ...

Fossil Fuels: increasingly risky investments says Forbes Magazine

'Although they were lucrative, fossil fuels are now increasingly risky investments, and the stakes are too high to maintain a stable climate ...

Fossil Fuel: not free market, it's free loading market on our health

'Right now it is now a free market. It is a free loading market. The fossil fuel industry is free loading on our health.' — Mark Z. Jacobs ...

Forecasts vary:  from "pretty awful" to "unspeakably horrible"

Yes, the models disagree. Their range of disagreement in their estimation of climate futures is between pretty awful and unspeakably horri ...

Extreme drought and heat waves are a threat to your freedom.

“Climate change is a threat to our freedoms. If you're a Great Plains rancher or a farmer, your freedom is enormously constrained by the fa ...

Earth's climate is an ornery beast...that overreacts

"The paleoclimate record shouts out to us that, far from being self-stabilising, the Earth's climate system is an ornery beast which overrea ...

Drive your car if 97% of mechanics agree your brakes are shot?

97% of mechanics agree your brakes are shot. 3% say your brakes are fine. You family is inside the car. Who do you listen to?

Category:Who to Believe?
Drastic climate change is a conservative's worst nightmare

"Under pressure from climate stress even the most robust constitutional democracy may find its character threatened. Faced with more stress ...

Don't like terrorism or high gas prices?  Then solve climate change.

"Congressman, set aside climate change, you realize that...things I suggested will help us be a lot more resilient against terrorism or oil ...

Don't like big government? Then act now to solve climate change

"I do not want the government telling me what to do. But, the longer we wait, the worse this problem gets...then you are going to see a lot ...

Don't hang your science on upside-down hooks

"When looking for a hat rack to hang your science upon, avoid those that have upside-down hooks." — Scott Mandia, tweeting about climate con ...

Don't fear global warming but do fear local climate destabilization

"Unfortunately, the focus remains mostly on “global warming” instead of on the bigger concern—that we are disrupting the planet’s climate in ...

Don't fall for denial or despair, instead just take action

"(Many) people go straight from denial to despair, without pausing on the intermediate step of actually doing something about (climate chang ...

Diet & exercise is not an easy option—it's the only one!

We're like the overweight patient that goes to the doctor and learns his cholesterol is too high. He doesn't die immediately—but until he ch ...

Deny global warming? Do you deny Air Force heat seeking missiles?

'In a bizarre sense, to deny global warming is to question the ability of the Air Force to put the right sensor on a heat seeking missile.' ...

Category:Who to Believe?
Denial: we all do it!

Who amongst us has not delayed opening a bank or credit card statement because we don't want to be reminded of the unpleasant news it contai ...

Dark last night, so the sun cannot not be real.

"Saying climate change is not real is like saying, 'the sun may not be real because it got dark last night." - comedian Bill Maher

Consensus?  97+% of climate researchers support IPCC

"...97–98% of the climate researchers most actively publishing in the field support the tenets of ACC [anthropogenic climate change] outline ...

Category:Who to Believe?
Conflating 'uncertainty' with 'ignorance'.

Some skeptics conflate 'uncertainty' with 'ignorance'. This is the idea that because scientists are uncertain about some aspect [of climate ...

Coal: Not a good long term investment says Goldman Sachs

"The window for profitable investment in coal mining is closing. " — Goldman Sachs, Rocks & Ores Commodities Research Report, July 24, 3013.

Coal: a deadly thug for inner city neighborhoods and minorities.

"It's very easy right now to talk about climate change as... theoretical, to talk about the dirtiness caused by coal plants as...aesthetic" ...

CO2 emissions not at fault?   That's rejecting 90 million tons of evidence

'(Contrarians) seem “certain” the world’s scientists are wrong, and spewing 90 million tons per day of man-made (CO2) pollution into the atm ...

Climate Russian Roulette:   But what's in the loaded chamber?

Continued release of greenhouse gases is like playing "Russian Roulette with the climate, hoping that the future will hold no unpleasant sur ...

Climate is the canvas and weather is what is painted on it

“Climate is the canvas and weather is what is painted on it. Humans have changed the climate so now all weather is affected by us.” – Scott ...

Cities lead the charge on climate change action

'Around the world, city leaders are not wasting time debating the science of climate change...we are taking action. There’s simply too much ...

China’s pollution is no excuse for inaction

Saying ‘we won’t do anything until China does’ is like saying ’We won’t protect free speech until China does.’ — Senator Barbara Boxer, Cali ...

Believe in global warming?  Great reply: Do you believe in gravity?

"People often ask if I believe in global warming. I now just reply with the question: 'Do you believe in gravity.'" — Neil deGrasse Tyson, ...

Behind closed doors, most GOP lawmakers accept climate change

“Most Republicans say the same thing behind closed doors: ‘Of course, I get that the climate is changing, of course I get that we need to do ...

Are you still debating if smoking causes cancer?

"Giving scientists and climate change deniers equal time is like having tobacco executives debate doctors on the safety of cigarettes." — Se ...

Category:Who to Believe?
Are we sufficiently talented to manage Earth's balance?

"Before we start geoengineering we have to raise the following question: are we sufficiently talented to take on what might become the onero ...

Are models wrong? No, they're 'useful'.

“Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful” — George E. P. Box

Applying the brakes on a foggy road is not alarmism

"I wouldn’t characterize wanting to use the brakes on a foggy road as hysteria. Humanity is simply driving too fast for the conditions ahea ...

An extra 2°C and you'd have a fever!

"When we look at the last 4 decades, we've seen 0.5°C global warming. Some people say, 'well that's not much!' Then I tell them to think o ...

A very dangerous threat, not a "cocktail hour curiosity"

Climate change is not a "cocktail hour curiosity." It is a very dangerous threat. Our climate system is an angry beast and we are poking i ...

A political issue? Ultimately, it's an argument of humans vs. physics

"(Climate Change) is ultimately an argument of humans vs. physics. It is not Republicans vs. Democrats, liberals vs conservatives, or envir ...

A natural cycle?  Mother Nature disagrees!

"It's getting warmer. Storms are getting stronger...and it's getting harder to say this is an accident of nature" — Dr. Stephen Schneider.

A lump on lung: 'wait and see' or surgery?

Whether you choose 'wait and see' vs. accept the doctor's recommendation for urgent surgery is a value judgment. Ignoring or resolving clim ...

A few loose bricks don't bring the wall down!

When you've built a great wall of evidence it takes more than a brick coming loose to bring the whole lot down.

3 phases of great scientific ideas: denial, resistance, & acceptance

“Every great scientific truth goes thru three phases: 1st people deny it, 2nd they say it conflicts with the Bible, 3rd they say they knew i ...

2012 drought natural? Blame the car engine for a speeding ticket?

"Blaming La Nina for the record drought is like blaming the car engine for the speeding ticket. See what happens when the driver steps on th ...

100% Certainty?  Not even the military requires this to take action

"You never have 100% certainty in anything. If you wait for 100% certainty on the battlefield, something bad is going to happen." — Vice Ad ...

'This is not uncertainty.  It's high school physics and chemistry'

'Certain gases trap heat in our atmosphere...Anyone who tells you that's uncertain is either very confused or they're lying.' — Naomi Oresk ...

"If I were wrong, then one would be enough." — Albert Einstein

In 1931, a book was published, "100 Authors Against Einstein." Albert Einstein's response: "If I were wrong, then one would be enough."

"Climate is always changing... !"

Sure, the climate always changes—just like asteroids have always hit the Earth. But does that mean that a big asteroid hitting the Earth tod ...