Tags: uncertainty

Gravity theory has uncertainties too.  So jump off a cliff?

Bite"Science isn't "yes or no." Science is gradually reducing uncertainty. Consider gravity. We know gravity with a fairly high degree of understanding but there are still little areas of gravity theory that scientists are still arguing about exactly how it works. But just because scientists don't h...
A lump on lung: 'wait and see' or surgery?

BiteWhether you choose 'wait and see' vs. accept the doctor's recommendation for urgent surgery is a value judgment. Ignoring or resolving climate change is also a value judgment.
When in doubt, ask... the Roman Catholic Church!

Category:Who to Believe?
Bite"At its core, global climate change is not about economic theory or political platforms, nor about partisan advantage or interest group pressures. It is about the future of God’s creation and the one human family.” — U.S. Bishops
Climate Russian Roulette:   But what's in the loaded chamber?

BiteContinued release of greenhouse gases is like playing "Russian Roulette with the climate, hoping that the future will hold no unpleasant surprises. No one knows what lies in the active chamber of the gun."

-- Oceangrapher, Wallace Broecker, 1987.
When in doubt, ask... your insurance company!

Category:Who to Believe?
Bite“The prospect of extreme climate change and its potentially devastating economic and social consequences are of great concern to the insurance industry.” — Kyoto Statement of The Geneva Association, 29th May, 2009
Would you argue with your doctor over a heart condition?

Category:Who to Believe?
BiteSome people say ‘When you are sure about climate change, then we will do something about it.’ Suppose your doctor says ‘Well, I am very concerned about your heart condition. I think you should be on a low cholesterol diet and exercise.’ Would anybody say to their doctor ‘If you can't tell me pre...
Earth's climate is an ornery beast...that overreacts

Bite"The paleoclimate record shouts out to us that, far from being self-stabilising, the Earth's climate system is an ornery beast which overreacts to even small nudges." -- Reknowned paleoclimatologist, Wallace Broeker
Skeptical of climate change?  So am I!

BiteI am skeptical we can keep burning fossil fuels with a business as usual mentality without harming the planet.
Applying the brakes on a foggy road is not alarmism

Bite"I wouldn’t characterize wanting to use the brakes on a foggy road as hysteria. Humanity is simply driving too fast for the conditions ahead, and should be more cautious."
I am skeptical of oil changes for my car!

Bite"Ok, but its going to get expensive real quick," responds my friend, Scott, a car mechanic. The science of climate change is very similar...
Diet & exercise is not an easy option—it's the only one!

BiteWe're like the overweight patient that goes to the doctor and learns his cholesterol is too high. He doesn't die immediately—but until he changes his lifestyle and gets back down to the safe zone, he's at more risk from heart attack or stroke. If we're already past 350 [ppm CO2], are we all doome...
If 10 people said your house is on fire, you'd act.

Bite"If ten people told you your house was on fire, you would call the fire department. You wouldn’t really care whether some of them thought that the place would be incinerated in an hour and some of them thought it would take a whole day."—Elizabeth Kolbert.
Are models wrong? No, they're 'useful'.

Bite“Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful” — George E. P. Box

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