With even 1% risk of catastrophe, we buy insurance. Featured
When I see a problem that has even a 1 percent probability of occurring and is 'irreversible' and potentially 'catastrophic,' I buy insurance. That is what taking climate change seriously is all about." —Thomas L. Friedman
Bite Notes: From the article, 'Going Cheney on Climate', New York Times, 8 Dec 09
Friedman uses '1%' because of its use by Dick Cheney—then Vice President—when he said, “If there’s a 1% chance that Pakistani scientists are helping Al Qaeda build or develop a nuclear weapon, we have to treat it as a certainty in terms of our response.”
But as Friedman also said in the article, "...the odds [on catastrophic global warming] are, in fact, a lot higher than 1 percent, if we stick to business as usual."
September 14, 2011
October 22, 2011
An excellent example, Brian.
I also often bring the point home by asking, "who amongst us has not delayed opening a bank or credit card statement because we want to delay the unpleasant news it contains!" Mea Culpa!
January 5, 2012
May 14, 2012
Another example of preparedness is that New York City is raising their sewer pumps by a couple of metres to prepare for rising sea levels.
We need many types of preparedness -- preventative action to reduce emissions and adaptive measures to help cope with expected changes.